Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena

Salzburg
1 - 2
Sturm Graz

Daghim (32')
Kounfolo Yeo (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kiteishvili (48' pen., 70')
Aiwu (54'), Junior Yalcouye (71')
Wuthrich (63')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Sturm Graz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Last Game: Salzburg 2-1 BW Linz
Sunday, April 6 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-0 Rapid Vienna
Friday, April 4 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 54.22%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 23.82% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Red Bull SalzburgDrawSturm Graz
54.22% (-0.225 -0.23)21.95% (0.019000000000002 0.02)23.82% (0.207 0.21)
Both teams to score 60.68% (0.192 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.6% (0.138 0.14)38.4% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.31% (0.148 0.15)60.69% (-0.147 -0.15)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)14.2% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.08% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)41.91% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (0.244 0.24)29.28% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (0.3 0.3)65.24% (-0.29899999999999 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Red Bull Salzburg 54.22%
    Sturm Graz 23.82%
    Draw 21.95%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawSturm Graz
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.89% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 54.22%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 6.12% (0.037 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 23.82%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2025 4pm
Gameweek 20
Salzburg
3-1
Sturm Graz
Vertessen (72'), Dorgeles (84'), Onisiwo (87')
Gorenc Stankovic (10')
Lavalee (39'), Aiwu (45'), Kiteishvili (53')
Oct 6, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 9
Sturm Graz
5-0
Salzburg
Junior Yalcouye (15'), Biereth (30', 51', 62'), Aiwu (76')
Aiwu (41')

Piatkowski (66'), Bajcetic (90')
Apr 28, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 7
Salzburg
2-2
Sturm Graz
Dorgeles (72'), Konate (82')
Solet (82')
Prass (1', 34')
Kiteishvili (60')
Mar 31, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 2
Sturm Graz
0-1
Salzburg

Gazibegovic (45'), Wuthrich (78')
Gorenc Stankovic (90+6'), Lavalee (90+10')
Bidstrup (48')
Gluh (31'), Ratkov (89'), Gourna-Douath (90+6'), Schlager (90+6'), Konate (90+12')
Gourna-Douath (90+6')
Feb 9, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 18
Salzburg
1-1
Sturm Graz
Ratkov (15')
Diambou (33'), Fernando (47')
Kiteishvili (80')
Schnegg (90+1')