Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Mar 2, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Linzer Stadion

BW Linz
2 - 1
Swarovski

Ronivaldo (1'), Pasic (90+2')
Ronivaldo (20'), Diabate (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
David (30')
Jaunegg (59'), Ustundag (74'), Ustundag (74')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between BW Linz and WSG Swarovski Tirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

BW Linz

All competitions
Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-1 BW Linz
Sunday, February 23 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

WSG Swarovski Tirol

All competitions
Last Game: Swarovski 3-3 Wolfsberger
Saturday, February 22 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BW Linz win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for WSG Swarovski Tirol had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a BW Linz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest WSG Swarovski Tirol win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BW Linz would win this match.

Result
BW LinzDrawWSG Swarovski Tirol
41.35% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)27.03% (0.019000000000002 0.02)31.62% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.96% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)55.19% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (-0.052 -0.05)76.43% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
BW Linz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.71% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)26.29% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.59% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)61.42% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
WSG Swarovski Tirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)32.22% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (-0.004999999999999 -0)68.71% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    BW Linz 41.34%
    WSG Swarovski Tirol 31.62%
    Draw 27.03%
BW LinzDrawWSG Swarovski Tirol
1-0 @ 11.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.34%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 9.59% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.62%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 9
Swarovski
1-1
BW Linz
Taferner (83')
Diarra (60'), Diarra (74')
Lawrence (29' og.)
Lawrence (74')
May 4, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 8
BW Linz
3-2
Swarovski
Ronivaldo (31'), Maranda (42'), Dobras (51')
Strauss (50'), Dobras (63'), Krainz (90+4'), Seidl (90')
Prelec (40'), Tomic (77')
Blume (58'), Okungbowa (62'), Sulzbacher (83'), Bacher (90+3')
Apr 13, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 4
Swarovski
2-1
BW Linz
Diarra (4', 50')
Gugganig (90+4')
Dobras (75')
Dec 10, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 17
BW Linz
1-2
Swarovski
Pirkl (1')
Golles (33'), Mensah (54'), Pirkl (66')
Diarra (45'), Prelec (48')
Diarra (77')
Sep 2, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 6
Swarovski
2-4
BW Linz
Kronberger (20'), Diarra (74')
Ertlthaler (66')
Ronivaldo (2'), Mensah (11'), Noss (52'), Golles (64')
Koch (26'), Ronivaldo (29')