Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Apr 23, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Generali Arena

Austria Vienna
2 - 1
Sturm Graz

Malone (40'), Prelec (61')
Plavotic (45'), Malone (63'), Bari (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Johnston (45')
Junior Yalcouye (43'), Aiwu (53'), Peter Hodl (90+2')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Austria Vienna and Sturm Graz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria Vienna

All competitions
Last Game: Austria Vienna 1-3 Salzburg
Sunday, April 20 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-0 BW Linz
Sunday, April 20 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Vienna win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria Vienna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria Vienna would win this match.

Result
Austria ViennaDrawSturm Graz
48.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.73%27.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 54.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.94% (0.0020000000000024 0)48.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.22% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Austria Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)19.97% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.86% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)52.14% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11% (0.0049999999999955 0)31.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.66% (0.004999999999999 0)68.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Austria Vienna 48.24%
    Sturm Graz 27.03%
    Draw 24.73%
Austria ViennaDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 8.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.07%
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 48.24%
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.28%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 27.03%

How you voted: Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz

Austria Vienna
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Sturm Graz
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 7, 2025 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Sturm Graz
2-2
Austria Vienna
Jatta (29'), Boving (61')
Geyrhofer (73')
Prelec (37'), Fitz (74' pen.)
Perez Vinlof (47'), Potzmann (90+3')
Sep 25, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Austria Vienna
2-2
Sturm Graz
Perez Vinlof (60'), Galvao (74')
Perez Vinlof (35'), Fischer (59'), Fitz (77')
Boving (24'), Jatta (41')
Jatta (45+1'), Karic (48'), Karic (49'), Gazibegovic (88')
Karic (53'), Jatta (57')
Oct 29, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 12
Sturm Graz
0-1
Austria Vienna

Lavalee (76'), Prass (90+1')
Gruber (14')
Ranftl (5'), Meisl (69'), Fruchtl (87'), Holland (89'), Fischer (90+3')
Jul 30, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 1
Austria Vienna
0-3
Sturm Graz

Jukic (87')
da Graca (33')
Gazibegovic (9'), Wlodarczyk (38'), Affengruber (60')
Prass (15'), Kiteishvili (71'), Sarkaria (74'), Boving (79')
rhs 2.0


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