Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Vienna win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria Vienna win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.