Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 15

Apr 28, 2025 at 1.15am UK

Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
0 - 0
Deportivo Riestra

Sanchez (29'), Sanchez (29'), Paz (39'), Paz (39'), Mino (44'), Mino (44'), Gallo (79'), Gallo (79'), Sanabria (83'), Sanabria (83'), Celiz (90+5'), Celiz (90+5')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Deportivo Riestra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Guarani 2-1 Independiente
Tuesday, April 22 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Deportivo Riestra

All competitions

Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 0-0 San Lorenzo
Sunday, April 20 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 77.22%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 5.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (17.12%) and 3-0 (12.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.17%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Deportivo Riestra
77.22% ( -0.33)	16.79% ( 0.26)	5.99% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 29.37% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.75% (

-0.69)

54.25% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.35% (

-0.58)

75.65% (

0.58)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.72% (

-0.29)

12.28% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.97% (

-0.61)

38.02% (

0.61)

Deportivo Riestra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

33.48% (

-0.2)

66.52% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.36% (

-0.08)

93.64% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Independiente 77.2%

Deportivo Riestra 5.99%

Draw 16.79%

Independiente	Draw	Deportivo Riestra
2-0 @ 17.96% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 17.12% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.95% Total : 77.2%	0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.22) 1-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.79%	0-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 1.24% Total : 5.99%