Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 39.02%. A draw had a probability of 35.9% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (5.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (21.72%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 1-0 (13.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 21.7% likelihood.