Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 43.03%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 27.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.