Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12

Apr 8, 2025 at 1am UK

Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro

Tucuman
3 - 2
Instituto

Coronel (45', 45'), Brizuela (49', 49'), Lamendola (90+1', 90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Luna (56' pen., 56' pen., 81', 81')
Pereyra (34'), Pereyra (34'), Mac Allister (88'), Mac Allister (88')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Instituto.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions

Last Game: Platense 2-1 Tucuman
Saturday, March 29 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Instituto

All competitions

Last Game: Instituto 1-0 San Martin SJ
Saturday, March 29 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 19.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.

Result
Atletico Tucuman	Draw	Instituto
53.23% ( -1.35)	27.23% ( 0.55)	19.55% ( 0.8)

Both teams to score 39.72% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.71% (

-0.87)

63.29% (

0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.33% (

-0.63)

82.67% (

0.63)

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.84% (

-0.98)

24.16% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.52% (

-1.41)

58.48% (

1.41)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.37% (

0.43)

47.63% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.05% (

0.32)

82.96% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Atletico Tucuman 53.21%

Instituto 19.55%

Draw 27.21%

Atletico Tucuman	Draw	Instituto
1-0 @ 16.34% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.18% Total : 53.21%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.4% Total : 27.21%	0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.24% Total : 19.55%