Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Mar 29, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron

Instituto
1 - 0
San Martin SJ

Zalazar (86')
Cordero (12'), Batallini (17'), Romero (66'), Luna (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Adrian Toloza (32'), Pelaitay (52'), Lecanda (81'), Molina (90+1'), Tijanovich (90+2')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and San Martin de San Juan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Instituto

All competitions
Last Game: Lanus 4-1 Instituto
Monday, March 17 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

San Martin de San Juan

All competitions
Last Game: San Martin SJ 0-2 Platense
Tuesday, March 18 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 47.31%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for San Martin de San Juan had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (7.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.34%), while for a San Martin de San Juan win it was 0-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Instituto in this match.

Result
InstitutoDrawSan Martin de San Juan
47.31% (-0.172 -0.17)31.38% (0.058 0.06)21.3% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 33.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
27.24% (-0.07 -0.07)72.76% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.05% (-0.042 -0.04)88.95% (0.039999999999992 0.04)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24% (-0.134 -0.13)31.76% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.81% (-0.153 -0.15)68.18% (0.151 0.15)
San Martin de San Juan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.53% (0.079000000000001 0.08)51.46% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.34% (0.052 0.05)85.65% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Instituto 47.3%
    San Martin de San Juan 21.3%
    Draw 31.37%
InstitutoDrawSan Martin de San Juan
1-0 @ 18.74% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.75% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.11% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 47.3%
0-0 @ 16.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.37%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 31.37%
0-1 @ 10.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.14% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.61% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 21.3%