Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 70.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for San Martin de San Juan had a probability of 8.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.18%) and 3-0 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.4%), while for a San Martin de San Juan win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	San Martin de San Juan
70.97% ( 0.03)	20.7% ( 0.02)	8.33% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 30.11% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.41% (

-0.19)

60.6% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.31% (

-0.14)

80.69% (

0.14)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76% (

-0.05)

16.25% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.23% (

-0.1)

45.77% (

0.1)

San Martin de San Juan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

35.95% (

-0.23)

64.06% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.41% (

-0.11)

92.59% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Independiente 70.97%

San Martin de San Juan 8.33%

Draw 20.69%

Independiente	Draw	San Martin de San Juan
1-0 @ 18.91% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 17.18% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 70.97%	0-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.07) 1-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.69%	0-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 8.33%