Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 13, 2025 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
  • Ivan Marcone 33' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Avalos 69' goal
  • Gabriel Avalos 82' goal
  • yellowcard Ayrton Portillo 11'
  • yellowcard Franco Adrian Toloza 37'

Independiente vs San Martin de San Juan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 6, 2025 7.30pm
Lanus 1 - 1 Independiente
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

San Martin de San Juan

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 2.00am
San Martin SJ 0 - 1 San Lorenzo
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Tomas Fernandez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 70.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for San Martin de San Juan had a probability of 8.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.18%) and 3-0 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.4%), while for a San Martin de San Juan win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result

Independiente 70.97% (+0.04)
Draw 20.7% (+0.02)
San Martin de San Juan 8.33% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

30.11% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.41% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 60.6% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 19.31% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 80.69% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 7.95% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 92.06% (+0.08)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 83.76% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 16.25% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 54.23% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 45.77% (+0.10)

San Martin de San Juan Goals

Over 0.5 35.95% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 64.06% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 7.41% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 92.59% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Independiente 70.97%
Draw 20.69%
San Martin de San Juan 8.33%
Independiente
1-0 @ 18.91% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 17.18% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 10.41% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 4.73% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.72% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 70.97%
Draw
0-0 @ 10.4% (+0.08)
1-1 @ 8.42% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 1.71% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.69%
San Martin de San Juan
0-1 @ 4.64% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 1.88% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 8.33%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 19
Feb 17, 2019 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez (San Juan, Provincia de San Juan)
  • Marcos Gelabert 45' yellowcard
  • Francisco Mattia 45' yellowcard
  • Facundo Erpen 49' yellowcard
  • Humberto Osorio 81' goal
  • goal Cecilio Dominguez 45'
  • redcard Pablo Perez 45'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Burdisso 68'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Bustos 74'