Copa Sudamericana
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Gustavo David Vargas Areco
28'
-
Alcides Javier Benitez Cabrera
45'+1'
-
Agustin Manzur
56'
-
Gustavo David Vargas Areco
80'
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Fernando Fernandez
88'
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Aldo Maiz
90'
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Alvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera
23'
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Diego Tarzia
26'
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Ivan Marcone
45'+3'
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Felipe Loyola
60'
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Gabriel Avalos
72'
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Felipe Loyola
90'+3'
Guarani vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.67%) and 1-2 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.96%), while for a Guarani win it was 1-0 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result
Guarani
19.47%
▼
(-0.14)
Draw
29.1%
▲
(+0.02)
Independiente
51.44%
▲
(+0.12)
Both Teams to Score:
35.64%
▼
(-0.20)
Goals
Over 2.5
31.49%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 2.5
68.51%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 3.5
13.73%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 3.5
86.27%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 4.5
4.99%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
95.01%
▲
(+0.05)
Guarani Goals
Over 0.5
49.11%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 0.5
50.89%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 1.5
14.73%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 1.5
85.27%
▲
(+0.18)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5
72.57%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
27.43%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
37.08%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
62.92%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Guarani
19.47%
Draw
29.09%
Independiente
51.42%
Guarani
1-0
@
9.43%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 19.47%
2-1 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 19.47%
Draw
0-0
@
13.96%
▲
(+0.09)
1-1 @ 12.19% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 29.09%
1-1 @ 12.19% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 29.09%
Independiente
0-1
@
18.05%
▲
(+0.09)
0-2 @ 11.67% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 51.42%
0-2 @ 11.67% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 51.42%