Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 22, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Guarani2 - 1Independiente
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Guarani and Independiente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Independiente 2-0 San Martin SJ
Sunday, April 13 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, April 13 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
23
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.67%) and 1-2 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.96%), while for a Guarani win it was 1-0 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guarani | Draw | Independiente |
19.47% ( -0.13) | 29.1% ( 0.02) | 51.44% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 35.64% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
