Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 3
Apr 17, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Boras Arena

Elfsborg
4 - 1
Varnamo

Soderberg (23'), Okkels (67'), Aron Gudjohnsen (73', 77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Strand (81' og.)
Eriksson (30'), Netinho (51')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Elfsborg and Varnamo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elfsborg

Last Six:
Last Game: Norrkoping 2-2 Elfsborg
Sunday, May 29 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Next Game: Elfsborg vs. Varbergs
Monday, June 27 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Varnamo

Last Six:
Last Game: Varnamo 1-0 Hammarby
Sunday, May 29 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Next Game: Kalmar vs. Varnamo
Monday, June 27 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 54.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 22.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-2 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
ElfsborgDrawVarnamo
54.82%22.6%22.58%
Both teams to score 56.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22%42.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.82%65.18%
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48%15.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57%44.43%
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25%32.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69%69.31%
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 54.82%
    Varnamo 22.58%
    Draw 22.59%
ElfsborgDrawVarnamo
2-1 @ 9.85%
1-0 @ 9.47%
2-0 @ 8.82%
3-1 @ 6.12%
3-0 @ 5.48%
3-2 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 2.85%
4-0 @ 2.55%
4-2 @ 1.59%
5-1 @ 1.06%
5-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 54.82%
1-1 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 5.5%
0-0 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.59%
1-2 @ 5.9%
0-1 @ 5.67%
0-2 @ 3.17%
1-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 22.58%

rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!