Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 77.94%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 7.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.48%) and 1-0 (11.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.