Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 73.92%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Concarneau had a probability of 9.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 3-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Concarneau win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Concarneau
73.92% ( 1.07)	16.52% ( -0.67)	9.56% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 46.03% (

0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.9% (

1.86)

41.1% (

-1.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.5% (

1.87)

63.49% (

-1.87)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.4% (

0.75)

9.6% (

-0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.9% (

1.72)

32.1% (

-1.73)

Concarneau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.92% (

0.42)

49.08% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.99% (

0.3)

84.01% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 73.9%

Concarneau 9.56%

Draw 16.52%

Auxerre	Draw	Concarneau
2-0 @ 12.93% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.58) 3-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.24) 5-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.1) 6-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.41% Total : 73.9%	1-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.67% Total : 16.52%	0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.22% Total : 9.56%