Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 22, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
KSK Nika
Oleksandriya4 - 1Mariupol
Shastal (45'), Hordiyenko (47'), Myshenko (49'), Bezborodko (90+1')
Pasayev (18')
Pasayev (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kulakov (82')
Kashchuk (4'), Tyshchenko (7'), Bykov (11'), Topalov (33'), Ihnatenko (62'), Sagutkin (64'), Myshnyov (74')
Kashchuk (4'), Tyshchenko (7'), Bykov (11'), Topalov (33'), Ihnatenko (62'), Sagutkin (64'), Myshnyov (74')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between FC Oleksandriya and Mariupol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Oleksandriya would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Mariupol |
| 45.99% | 25.42% | 28.59% |
| Both teams to score 53.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
