Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Dnipro-1.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Desna Chernihiv | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
| 40.04% | 25.66% | 34.3% |
| Both teams to score 55.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.08% | 48.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.99% | 71.01% |
| Desna Chernihiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% | 24.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.55% | 58.45% |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% | 27.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.19% | 62.81% |
| Score Analysis |
Desna Chernihiv 40.04%
Dnipro-1 34.3%
Draw 25.66%
| Desna Chernihiv | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.04% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 7.89% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.97% Total : 34.3% |


