European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Oct 9, 2020 at 7pm UK
 

Belgium U21s
5 - 0
Wales U21s

Tresor Ndayishimiye (17' pen.), Sambi Lokonga (20', 34'), Bataille (78'), Openda (81' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)

Harris (31'), Bowen (42')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Belgium Under-21s and Wales Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium Under-21s win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Wales Under-21s had a probability of 14.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Wales Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Belgium Under-21sDrawWales Under-21s
64.45%20.62%14.93%
Both teams to score 49.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.13%45.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82%68.18%
Belgium Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.51%13.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.48%40.52%
Wales Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.94%43.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.66%79.34%
Score Analysis
    Belgium Under-21s 64.44%
    Wales Under-21s 14.93%
    Draw 20.62%
Belgium Under-21sDrawWales Under-21s
2-0 @ 11.65%
1-0 @ 11.63%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 7.78%
3-1 @ 6.56%
4-0 @ 3.9%
4-1 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.76%
5-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.38%
5-1 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 64.44%
1-1 @ 9.81%
0-0 @ 5.81%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 20.62%
0-1 @ 4.9%
1-2 @ 4.13%
0-2 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.16%
1-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 14.93%

rhs 2.0


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