Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 55.38%. A win for Neuchatel Xamax had a probability of 22.64% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Neuchatel Xamax win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Basel in this match.