UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Sweden national football team
Nations League | League C
Nov 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Friends Arena
Slovakia national football team

Sweden
2 - 1
Slovakia

Gyokeres (3'), Isak (48')
Hien (15'), Gudmundsson (28'), Holm (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hancko (19')
Rodak (37'), Dubravka (45+2'), Bero (60'), Skriniar (69'), Calzona (90+2')
Skriniar (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Sweden and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Estonia 0-3 Sweden
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Slovakia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-3 Slovakia
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 22.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Slovakia win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
SwedenDrawSlovakia
52.72% (0.088000000000001 0.09)24.32% (-0.02 -0.02)22.96% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.71% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.21% (0.016999999999996 0.02)49.78% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01)71.78% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.040000000000006 0.04)18.84% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.71% (0.068999999999996 0.07)50.28% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.71% (-0.052 -0.05)36.29% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.92% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)73.07% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 52.72%
    Slovakia 22.96%
    Draw 24.31%
SwedenDrawSlovakia
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.3% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 52.72%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 22.96%

How you voted: Sweden vs Slovakia

Sweden
76.1%
Draw
15.5%
Slovakia
8.5%
142
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 7.45pm
League C
Slovakia
2-2
Sweden
Strelec (44', 72')
Vavro (18'), Suslov (51'), Duda (61'), Gyomber (90+3')
Ayari (25'), Sema (32')
Douglas (40'), Karlstrom (61')
> Preview
Jun 18, 2021 2pm
Group Stage
Sweden
1-0
Slovakia
Forsberg (77' pen.)
Olsson (23')

Dubravka (76'), Duda (80'), Weiss (87')
> Match Report
Oct 16, 2018 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Sweden
1-1
Slovakia
Guidetti (52')
Papagiannopoulos (90')
Rusnak (84')
Sabo (36')
rhs 2.0


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