Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
