Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.69%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hibernian in this match.