Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-0 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Falkirk |
| 18.37% | 24.41% | 57.22% |
| Both teams to score 44.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.66% | 55.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.45% | 76.56% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.68% | 44.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.62% | 80.39% |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.78% | 19.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.07% | 50.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 6.94% 2-1 @ 4.65% 2-0 @ 2.82% 3-1 @ 1.26% 3-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.65% Total : 18.37% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 14.05% 0-2 @ 11.58% 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-3 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 5.18% 0-4 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 2.11% Other @ 3.75% Total : 57.22% |