Rostov

2 - 3

Spartak Moscow

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Rostov win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.