Dynamo Moscow
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 22
Mar 29, 2025 at 11am UK
VTB Arena (Moskva)

Dynamo Moscow
5 - 1
Orenburg

Carrascal (38', 41'), Bitello (60'), Chavez (67'), Okishor (90+1')
Fernandez (20')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Saharkhizan Gendishmin (77')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Dynamo Moscow and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dynamo Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Lokomotiv 2-1 Dynamo Moscow
Saturday, March 15 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Orenburg 1-0 Fakel
Saturday, March 15 at 9am in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 15.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Orenburg win it was 1-2 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.

Result
Dynamo MoscowDrawOrenburg
65.53% (1.378 1.38)19.43% (-0.448 -0.45)15.04% (-0.924 -0.92)
Both teams to score 53.54% (-0.688 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.67% (0.198 0.2)40.33% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.3% (0.204 0.2)62.71% (-0.199 -0.2)
Dynamo Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.48% (0.43599999999999 0.44)11.52% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.58% (0.922 0.92)36.42% (-0.917 -0.92)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.51% (-1.075 -1.08)39.5% (1.081 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.82% (-1.016 -1.02)76.19% (1.021 1.02)
Score Analysis
    Dynamo Moscow 65.53%
    Orenburg 15.04%
    Draw 19.43%
Dynamo MoscowDrawOrenburg
2-0 @ 10.62% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.83% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 7.65% (0.317 0.32)
3-1 @ 7.11% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
4-0 @ 4.13% (0.238 0.24)
4-1 @ 3.84% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.79% (0.131 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.66% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 65.53%
1-1 @ 9.14% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.55% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.43%
1-2 @ 4.24% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-1 @ 4.23% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-2 @ 1.96% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 15.04%

Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 7
Orenburg
2-2
Dynamo Moscow
Saharkhizan Gendishmin (20'), Perez (90+5')
Malykh (36'), Basic (71')
Perez (65' og.), Mehdi Maouhoub (72' pen.)
Fernandez (50')
Apr 24, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 21
Orenburg
1-2
Dynamo Moscow
Mansilla (77')
Perez (16'), Ghorbani (76'), Malykh (86')
Tyukavin (55'), Ngamaleu (72')
Shunin (90+4'), Fomin (90+4')
Nov 12, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 15
Dynamo Moscow
2-0
Orenburg
Tyukavin (59'), Chavez (67')
Chavez (55')

Gojkovic (73')
Jun 3, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Orenburg
3-0
Dynamo Moscow
Mansilla (6'), Vorobyev (40'), Vera (75')

Ngamaleu (38')
Oct 15, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 13
Dynamo Moscow
3-2
Orenburg
Parshivlyuk (11'), Grulyov (64'), Fernandez (81')
Sychevoy (25', 52')
rhs 2.0


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