Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 21
Mar 15, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
RZD Arena
Dynamo Moscow

Lokomotiv
2 - 1
Dynamo Moscow

Vorobyev (38'), Silyanov (76')
Nenakhov (70'), Lantratov (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arthur (45')
Carrascal (53')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Dynamo Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-1 Akhmat Grozny
Friday, March 7 at 5.15pm in Russian Premier League

Dynamo Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 4-0 Makhachkala
Saturday, March 8 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Dynamo Moscow win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawDynamo Moscow
54.72% (3.214 3.21)23.52% (-0.473 -0.47)21.76% (-2.741 -2.74)
Both teams to score 52.67% (-1.822 -1.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.25% (-0.803 -0.8)47.75% (0.805 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.06% (-0.747 -0.75)69.94% (0.74799999999999 0.75)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (0.90000000000001 0.9)17.33% (-0.9 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.3% (1.557 1.56)47.7% (-1.557 -1.56)
Dynamo Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.71% (-2.931 -2.93)36.29% (2.931 2.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.92% (-3.092 -3.09)73.07% (3.092 3.09)
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 54.71%
    Dynamo Moscow 21.76%
    Draw 23.52%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawDynamo Moscow
1-0 @ 11.02% (0.67 0.67)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.121 0.12)
2-0 @ 9.66% (0.851 0.85)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.233 0.23)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.646 0.65)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.172 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.47% (0.346 0.35)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 54.71%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.208 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.346 -0.35)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.302 -0.3)
1-2 @ 5.66% (-0.575 -0.58)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.434 -0.43)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.249 -0.25)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 21.76%

Head to Head
Jul 27, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
Dynamo Moscow
3-1
Lokomotiv
Gagnidze (12'), Majstorovic (59'), Ngamaleu (85')
Gagnidze (62')
Vorobyev (39')
Batrakov (25'), Fasson (37'), Pinyaev (64')
Mar 3, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 19
Dynamo Moscow
2-1
Lokomotiv
Bitello (12'), Makarov (58')
Laxalt (26'), Balbuena (83'), Fernandez (87')
Zhemaletdinov (84')
Morozov (29'), Silyanov (64'), Samoshnikov (72'), Nyamsi (90+2')
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Lokomotiv
0-0
Dynamo Moscow
May 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Dynamo Moscow
2-4
Lokomotiv
Smolov (45+4' pen.), Sazonov (55')
Smolov (69'), Gladyshev (82'), Grulyov (85')
Tiknizyan (45'), Glushenkov (63'), Nenakhov (77'), Isidor (88')
Dzyuba (39'), Mitaj (71'), Pinyaev (72')
Oct 22, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 14
Lokomotiv
1-3
Dynamo Moscow
Kamano (1')
Smolov (32' pen.), Zakharyan (63'), Fomin (90+3' pen.)