Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 59.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 17.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
59.81% ( 0.01)	22.44% ( -0.01)	17.75% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.57% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.39%

48.6% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.27% (

70.72% (

-0)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.14% (

15.86% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.94% (

0.01)

45.06% (

-0.01)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.91% (

-0.01)

41.08% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.36% (

-0.01)

77.63% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 59.8%

Akhmat Grozny 17.75%

Draw 22.44%

Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 11.99% 2-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 6.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-2 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 59.8%	1-1 @ 10.67% 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.44%	0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 17.75%

Head to Head

Aug 4, 2024 6.30pm

Gameweek 3

Akhmat Grozny

0-5

Lokomotiv

Satara (39'), Ghandri (51')

Vorobyev (7' pen.), Nyamsi (17', 36'), Rakov (79'), Batrakov (90+2')
Nenakhov (28'), Vorobyev (51'), Silyanov (52'), Tiknizyan (56'), Suleymanov (76')

Apr 7, 2024 2.30pm

Gameweek 23

Akhmat Grozny

0-2

Lokomotiv

Shvets (16'), Camilo (88')
Todorovic (19')

Miranchuk (21' pen.), Pinyaev (58')
Morozov (85')

Nov 11, 2023 1.30pm

Gameweek 15

Lokomotiv

2-1

Akhmat Grozny