Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 46.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 26.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 1-0 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.