Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest Under-23s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-23s |
| 48.6% | 22.22% | 29.19% |
| Both teams to score 65.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.05% | 34.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.06% | 56.94% |
| Nottingham Forest Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.17% | 14.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.87% | 43.13% |
| Aston Villa Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% | 23.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.23% | 57.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest Under-23s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 9.21% 1-0 @ 6.7% 2-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 5.86% 3-2 @ 4.22% 3-0 @ 4.07% 4-1 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.94% 5-1 @ 1.07% 4-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.36% Total : 48.6% | 1-1 @ 9.65% 2-2 @ 6.64% 0-0 @ 3.51% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-1 @ 5.06% 0-2 @ 3.64% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 1.75% 1-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.19% |


