Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Under-23s win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Newcastle United Under-23s had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Under-23s would win this match.
