Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Under-23s win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Newcastle United Under-23s had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace Under-23s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-23s |
| 43.9% | 22.8% | 33.3% |
| Both teams to score 65.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.26% | 35.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.19% | 57.81% |
| Crystal Palace Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.16% | 16.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.16% | 46.84% |
| Newcastle United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.32% | 21.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.17% | 54.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace Under-23s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% 1-0 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 5.26% 3-2 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 3.44% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.45% Total : 43.9% | 1-1 @ 9.94% 2-2 @ 6.77% 0-0 @ 3.65% 3-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.8% | 1-2 @ 7.6% 0-1 @ 5.58% 0-2 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 3.45% 0-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.55% Total : 33.3% |


