UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 4, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Arena Naţională

Romania
1 - 1
Northern Ireland

Puscas (25')
Hagi (42'), Nistor (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Whyte (86')
Magennis (13'), Evans (33')
Magennis (39')

Reaction

Northern Ireland manager Ian Baraclough pictured on September 4, 2020

Ian Baraclough: 'Players gave everything against Romania'

Ian Baraclough collected a point in his first game in charge.

Sep 5, 09:52

Ian Baraclough: 'Romania draw feels like a win for Northern Ireland'

Northern Ireland had Josh Magennis sent off.

Sep 4, 22:43

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Romania	Draw	Northern Ireland
50.91%	25.78%	23.31%

Both teams to score 47.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.9%

55.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.64%

76.36%

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.31%

21.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.16%

54.84%

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.07%

38.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.35%

75.65%

Score Analysis

Romania 50.91%

Northern Ireland 23.31%

Draw 25.77%

Romania	Draw	Northern Ireland
1-0 @ 12.9% 2-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 9.3% 3-0 @ 5.02% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.11% Total : 50.91%	1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 8.44% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.77%	0-1 @ 7.97% 1-2 @ 5.74% 0-2 @ 3.76% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.48% Total : 23.31%