National League North | Gameweek 42
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
2 - 2
Chester

White (49'), Cowley (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Peers (44'), Woods (53')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-4 Hereford
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North

Chester FC

All competitions
Last Game: Chester 1-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hereford United win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Chester FC has a probability of 35.49% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Chester FC win is 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.69%).

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawChester FC
37.8% (0.814 0.81)26.71% (-0.123 -0.12)35.49% (-0.694 -0.69)
Both teams to score 51.82% (0.36 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.79% (0.475 0.48)53.2% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.23% (0.4 0.4)74.77% (-0.401 -0.4)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (0.69800000000001 0.7)27.32% (-0.7 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (0.89899999999999 0.9)62.77% (-0.901 -0.9)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.191 -0.19)28.69% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (-0.239 -0.24)64.51% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 37.79%
    Chester FC 35.49%
    Draw 26.7%
Hereford UnitedDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 10.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.126 0.13)
2-0 @ 6.6% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.56% (0.123 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 37.79%
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 9.79% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.49%

Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Chester
3-0
Hereford
Caton (1', 74'), Peers (62')
Peers (29'), Rawlinson (51'), Daly (55')

Cowley (71'), Campbell (85'), Deacon (88')
Feb 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Hereford
1-1
Chester
Williams (75' pen.)
Whitehouse (14')
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Chester
1-2
Hereford
Weeks (35' pen.)
Nalatche Mendes (84'), Teixeira (88')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Hereford
1-2
Chester
Latty-Fairweather (75')
Caton (59'), Willoughby (79')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Chester
0-1
Hereford
Haines (84')