Major League Soccer

May 11, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena, Harrison

NY Red Bulls
7 - 0
LA Galaxy

Maxim Choupo-Moting (7', 7', 31', 31'), Forsberg (16', 16', 50', 50'), Harper (68', 68'), Gjengaar (88', 88'), Yamane (90+3' og., 90+3' og.)
Eile (72'), Eile (72'), Nealis (74'), Nealis (74')

FT(HT: 6-0)

Emiro Garces Torres (10'), Emiro Garces Torres (10'), Aude (49'), Aude (49'), Cerrillo (73'), Cuevas (73'), Cerrillo (73'), Cuevas (73'), Wynder (78'), Wynder (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 4-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Kansas 1-0 LA Galaxy
Monday, May 5 at 12am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
49.14% ( 0.01)	23.53% ( 0.01)	27.33% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 58.78% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.47% (

-0.04)

42.52% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.07% (

-0.04)

64.93% (

0.04)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.54% (

-0.01)

17.46% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.07% (

-0.02)

47.92% (

0.02)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22% (

-0.03)

28.78% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.37% (

-0.04)

64.63% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 49.14%

Los Angeles Galaxy 27.33%

Draw 23.53%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 3.86% Total : 49.14%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.53%	1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 27.33%