Major League Soccer

May 4, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Inter Miami CF Stadium

Inter Miami
4 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Picault (9', 9'), Weigandt (30', 30'), Suarez (39', 39'), Messi (67', 67')
Bright (14'), Bright (14')

FT(HT: 6-2)

Maxim Choupo-Moting (43', 43')
Stroud (52'), Stroud (52'), Nealis (75'), Nealis (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between Inter Miami and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Vancouver
Thursday, May 1 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-0 Montreal
Saturday, April 26 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 56.4%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	New York Red Bulls
56.4% ( -0.34)	21.56% ( 0.24)	22.03% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 59.65% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.32% (

-1.03)

38.67% (

1.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.02% (

-1.1)

60.97% (

1.09)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.38% (

-0.44)

13.61% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.24% (

-0.89)

40.75% (

0.89)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.05% (

-0.5)

30.94% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.75% (

-0.59)

67.24% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 56.4%

New York Red Bulls 22.03%

Draw 21.56%

Inter Miami	Draw	New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.53% Total : 56.4%	1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.56%	1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 22.03%