CONCACAF Champions League
Apr 10, 2025 1.00am
3
1
HT : 2 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Lionel Messi 35' goal
  • Lionel Messi 35' goal
  • Yannick Bright 53' yellowcard
  • Yannick Bright 53' yellowcard
  • Noah Allen 61' goal
  • Noah Allen 61' goal
  • Maximiliano Falcon 71' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Falcon 71' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 84' goal
  • Lionel Messi 84' goal
  • goal Aaron Long 9'
  • goal Aaron Long 9'
  • yellowcard Ryan Hollingshead 30'
  • yellowcard Ryan Hollingshead 30'
  • yellowcard Marlon Santos 89'
  • yellowcard Marlon Santos 89'
  • yellowcard Eddie Segura 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Eddie Segura 90'+3'

Inter Miami vs Los Angeles FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last game
Apr 3, 2025 4.30am
Los Angeles 1 - 0 Inter Miami

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last game
Apr 3, 2025 4.30am
Los Angeles 1 - 0 Inter Miami

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result

Inter Miami 48.08% (-0.59)
Draw 22.65% (+0.24)
Los Angeles FC 29.26% (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.45% (-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.97% (-0.93)
Under 2.5 37.03% (+0.93)
Over 3.5 40.78% (-1.02)
Under 3.5 59.22% (+1.01)
Over 4.5 22.77% (-0.83)
Under 4.5 77.23% (+0.83)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 84.22% (-0.56)
Under 0.5 15.78% (+0.56)
Over 1.5 55.08% (-1.04)
Under 1.5 44.91% (+1.03)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5 75.33% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 24.66% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 40.81% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 59.19% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 48.08%
Draw 22.64%
Los Angeles FC 29.26%
Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.29% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.19% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 6.63% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.09)
Other @ 4.81%
Total : 48.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.05% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.89% (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.87% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.64%
Los Angeles FC
1-2 @ 7.04% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 5.45% (+0.21)
0-2 @ 3.81% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 3.29% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.78% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 29.26%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions League
Apr 3, 2025 4.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Banc of California Stadium
  • Nathan Ordaz 26' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ordaz 57' goal
  • yellowcard Telasco Segovia 66'
  • yellowcard Sergio Busquets 71'
Major League Soccer
Sep 4, 2023 3.00am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Banc of California Stadium
  • Mateusz Bogusz 2' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Bogusz 2' yellowcard
  • Diego Palacios 76' yellowcard
  • Diego Palacios 76' yellowcard
  • Jesus Murillo 79' yellowcard
  • Jesus Murillo 79' yellowcard
  • Denis Bouanga 88' yellowcard
  • Denis Bouanga 88' yellowcard
  • Ryan Hollingshead 90' goal
  • Ryan Hollingshead 90' goal
  • goal Facundo Farias 14'
  • goal Facundo Farias 14'
  • goal Jordi Alba 51'
  • goal Jordi Alba 51'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 63'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 63'
  • yellowcard Facundo Farias 72'
  • yellowcard Facundo Farias 72'
  • goal Leonardo Campana 83'
  • goal Leonardo Campana 83'
  • yellowcard Diego Gomez 86'
  • yellowcard Diego Gomez 86'
Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2022 6.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Mo 29' yellowcard
  • Brek Shea 45'+2' redcard
  • Ariel Lassiter 73' yellowcard
  • Edison Azcona 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moon-Hwan Kim 11'
  • yellowcard Ilie Sanchez 15'
  • goal Kwadwo Opoku 45'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Fall 62'
  • goal Ismael Tajouri 82'
  • yellowcard Doneil Henry 88'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 3
Mar 1, 2020 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Carlos Vela 44' goal
  • Eduard Atuesta 60' yellowcard
  • Jordan Harvey 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Victor Ulloa 63'
  • yellowcard Alvas Powell 66'
  • yellowcard Juan Agudelo 83'