Inter Miami
CONCACAF Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 10, 2025 at 1am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Los Angeles FC

Inter Miami
3 - 1
Los Angeles

Messi (35', 35', 84' pen., 84' pen.), Allen (61', 61')
Bright (53'), Bright (53'), Falcon (71'), Falcon (71')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Long (9', 9')
Hollingshead (30'), Hollingshead (30'), Santos (89'), Santos (89'), Segura (90+3'), Segura (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Champions League clash between Inter Miami and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawLos Angeles FC
48.08% (-0.59 -0.59)22.65% (0.236 0.24)29.26% (0.349 0.35)
Both teams to score 63.45% (-0.625 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.97% (-0.929 -0.93)37.03% (0.923 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.78% (-1.013 -1.01)59.22% (1.007 1.01)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.22% (-0.557 -0.56)15.78% (0.551 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.08% (-1.033 -1.03)44.91% (1.026 1.03)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33% (-0.247 -0.25)24.66% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81% (-0.346 -0.35)59.19% (0.341 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 48.08%
    Los Angeles FC 29.26%
    Draw 22.64%
Inter MiamiDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.19% (0.187 0.19)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.085 -0.09)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 48.08%
1-1 @ 10.05% (0.184 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.89% (0.173 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.87% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.086 0.09)
0-1 @ 5.45% (0.206 0.21)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 29.26%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Los Angeles

Inter Miami
87.5%
Draw
9.4%
Los Angeles FC
3.1%
32
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2025 4.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Los Angeles
1-0
Inter Miami
Ordaz (57')
Ordaz (26')

Segovia (66'), Busquets (71')
Sep 4, 2023 3am
Los Angeles
1-3
Inter Miami
Hollingshead (90')
Bogusz (2'), Palacios (76'), Murillo (79'), Bouanga (88')
Farias (14'), Alba (51'), Campana (83')
Yedlin (63'), Farias (72'), Gomez (86')
Mar 12, 2022 6.30pm
Inter Miami
0-2
Los Angeles

Mo (29'), Lassiter (73'), Azcona (90+2')
Shea (45+2')
Opoku (45'), Tajouri (82')
Kim (11'), Sanchez (15'), Fall (62'), Henry (88')
Mar 1, 2020 10.30pm
Gameweek 3
Los Angeles
1-0
Inter Miami
Vela (44')
Atuesta (60'), Harvey (81')

Ulloa (63'), Powell (66'), Agudelo (83')
rhs 2.0


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