Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.79%) and 1-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.