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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Apr 20, 2025 at 3.15am UK
Providence Park
Los Angeles FC

Portland
3 - 3
Los Angeles

Mora (8' pen., 66'), Moreno (42')
Fory (18'), Ayala (35'), Rodriguez (63'), Costa (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Giroud (45'), Martinez (64'), Bouanga (90' pen.)
Delgado (45+2'), Bouanga (45+3'), Hollingshead (78'), Palencia (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between Portland Timbers and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kansas 2-4 Portland
Sunday, April 13 at 7.15pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 13 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles FC
44.84% (0.144 0.14)23.15% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)32.01% (-0.14 -0.14)
Both teams to score 63.27% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.05% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)37.95% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.79% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)60.21% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65% (0.045000000000002 0.05)17.35% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.26% (0.083000000000006 0.08)47.73% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)23.45% (0.089000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.54% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)57.46% (0.13 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 44.84%
    Los Angeles FC 32.01%
    Draw 23.14%
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.13% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.24% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.29% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.32% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 44.84%
1-1 @ 10.33%
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.14%
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.01%

Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 3.30am
Los Angeles
3-2
Portland
Miller (44' og.), Tillman (45+4'), Bouanga (90+2')
Bogusz (48'), Sanchez (54'), Chanot (75'), Kamara (89')
Rodriguez (65'), Moreno (73')
Neville (0'), Bravo (52'), Rodriguez (55'), Williamson (68'), Chara (72'), Miller (90+5')
Chara (76')
Apr 13, 2024 9.45pm
Portland
2-2
Los Angeles
Mora (11'), Evander (34')
Mora (14'), Evander (40')
Crepeau (48')
Bogusz (22', 51')
Palencia (44'), Sanchez (45+4'), Bouanga (45+3'), Hollingshead (71'), Bogusz (76'), Atuesta (87')
Sep 10, 2023 3.30am
Mar 4, 2023 9.30pm
Los Angeles
3-2
Portland
Chiellini (24'), Vela (34' pen.), Opoku (52')
Evander (62'), Paredes (84')
Oct 2, 2022 8pm
rhs 2.0


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