Major League Soccer
Apr 13, 2025 3.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Banc of California Stadium
  • Sergi Palencia 65' goal
  • Denis Bouanga 86' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Wilson 42'
  • goal Cristian Espinoza 90'+5'

Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 6, 2025 2.00am
Houston 1 - 0 Los Angeles
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Denis Bouanga

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 6, 2025 10.00pm
Earthquakes 6 - 1 DC United
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Cristian Arango

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 64.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 15.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.

Result

Los Angeles FC 64.92% (+0.30)
Draw 19.44% (-0.08)
San Jose Earthquakes 15.64% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.01% (-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.88% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 39.12% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 38.55% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 61.45% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 20.99% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 79.01% (+0.10)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5 88.67% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 11.33% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 63.99% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 36.01% (-0.10)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 62.04% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 37.96% (+0.35)
Over 1.5 25.27% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 74.73% (+0.34)

Score analysis

Los Angeles FC 64.91%
Draw 19.44%
San Jose Earthquakes 15.64%
Los Angeles FC
2-0 @ 10.19% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.37% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 7.4% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 7.17% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.03% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 3.9% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.76% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.7% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 64.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.07% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.3% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.44%
San Jose Earthquakes
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 4.17% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.02% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 15.64%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Oct 20, 2024 2.00am
3
1
HT : 0 2
FT Banc of California Stadium
  • Denis Bouanga 64' goal
  • Denis Bouanga 64' goal
  • Eduard Atuesta 75' goal
  • Eduard Atuesta 75' goal
  • Marlon Santos 90'+1' goal
  • Marlon Santos 90'+1' goal
  • goal Jackson Yueill 9'
  • goal Jackson Yueill 9'
  • yellowcard Rodrigues 31'
  • yellowcard Rodrigues 31'
  • yellowcard Carlos Akapo 53'
  • yellowcard Carlos Akapo 53'
  • yellowcard Oscar Verhoeven 85'
  • yellowcard Oscar Verhoeven 85'
Leagues Cup
Aug 14, 2024 3.30am
4
1
HT : 4 2
FT Rose Bowl
  • Cristian Olivera 17' goal
  • Cristian Olivera 17' goal
  • Denis Bouanga 45'+5' goal
  • Denis Bouanga 45'+5' goal
  • Mateusz Bogusz 61' goal
  • Mateusz Bogusz 61' goal
  • Denis Bouanga 66' goal
  • Denis Bouanga 66' goal
  • goal Hernan Lopez 41'
  • goal Hernan Lopez 41'
  • yellowcard William Yarbrough 45'+2'
  • yellowcard William Yarbrough 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ian Russell 50'
  • yellowcard Ian Russell 50'
Major League Soccer
Jun 23, 2024 3.30am
6
2
HT : 8 2
FT Banc of California Stadium
  • Mateusz Bogusz 15' goal
  • Mateusz Bogusz 15' goal
  • Denis Bouanga 26' goal
  • Denis Bouanga 26' goal
  • Kei Kamara 33' goal
  • Kei Kamara 33' goal
  • Ryan Hollingshead 42' goal
  • Ryan Hollingshead 42' goal
  • Mateusz Bogusz 48' goal
  • Mateusz Bogusz 48' goal
  • Tomas Angel 87' goal
  • Tomas Angel 87' goal
  • yellowcard Vitor Costa 46'
  • yellowcard Vitor Costa 46'
  • goal Rodrigues 45'+3'
  • goal Rodrigues 45'+3'
  • goal Benji Kikanovic 57'
  • goal Benji Kikanovic 57'
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 12.30am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Levi's Stadium
  • Rodrigues 5' goal
  • Rodrigues 5' goal
  • Jack Skahan 10' yellowcard
  • Jack Skahan 10' yellowcard
  • Amahl Pellegrino 55' goal
  • Amahl Pellegrino 55' goal
  • Denis Bouanga 59' goal
  • Denis Bouanga 59' goal
  • Vitor Costa 75' yellowcard
  • Vitor Costa 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maxime Chanot 25'
  • yellowcard Maxime Chanot 25'
  • yellowcard Sergi Palencia 61'
  • yellowcard Sergi Palencia 61'
  • goal Cristian Olivera 69'
  • goal Cristian Olivera 69'
Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2023 3.30am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Banc of California Stadium
  • goal Cristian Espinoza 30'
  • goal Cristian Espinoza 30'
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 3.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Banc of California Stadium
  • Stipe Biuk 3' goal
  • Stipe Biuk 3' goal
  • Carlos Vela 90'+5' goal
  • Carlos Vela 90'+5' goal
  • goal Miguel Trauco 52'
  • goal Miguel Trauco 52'