Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 38.4% | 24.26% | 37.34% |
| Both teams to score 60.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.86% | 42.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.45% | 64.55% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% | 21.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.75% | 55.25% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% | 22.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.95% | 56.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 8.47% 1-0 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.51% Total : 38.4% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 6.32% 0-0 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-1 @ 7.37% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.34% |