Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 48.06% | 24.94% | 27.01% |
| Both teams to score 53.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.05% | 48.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.96% | 71.04% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% | 20.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.17% | 52.83% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.61% | 32.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.1% | 68.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 4.99% 3-0 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.72% Total : 48.05% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.61% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.45% 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.2% 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.6% Total : 27.01% |