Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Guingamp	Draw	Bastia
53.78% ( 0.04)	24.53% ( -0.01)	21.69% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 49.5% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.09% (

0.01)

51.92% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.34% (

0.01)

73.66% (

-0.01)

Guingamp Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.76% (

0.02)

19.24% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.05% (

0.03)

50.95% (

-0.03)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.29% (

-0.02)

38.71% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.55% (

-0.02)

75.45% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Guingamp 53.77%

Bastia 21.69%

Draw 24.53%

Guingamp	Draw	Bastia
1-0 @ 12.27% 2-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.96% Total : 53.77%	1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.53%	0-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 1.48% Total : 21.69%