Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Guingamp in this match.