Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.