Troyes
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 25
Feb 28, 2025 at 7pm UK
Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas

Troyes
2 - 0
Bastia

Said (12'), Kalou Irie (53')
Boura (32'), Monfray (36'), Kante (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Roncaglia (60'), Jose Guevara Possu (61'), Ducrocq (81')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Troyes and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Paris FC 1-0 Troyes
Friday, February 21 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Bastia 1-0 Red Star
Friday, February 21 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawBastia
40.22% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)27.86% (0.0040000000000013 0)31.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.62% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)58.2% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)78.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)28.32% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)64.05% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44% (0.0019999999999953 0)33.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.2% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 40.21%
    Bastia 31.92%
    Draw 27.86%
TroyesDrawBastia
1-0 @ 11.99%
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 40.21%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 9.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 10.37%
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.92%

How you voted: Troyes vs Bastia

Troyes
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Bastia
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 4
Bastia
0-0
Troyes
Ariss (4'), Maggiotti (33'), Jose Guevara Possu (56')
Kalou Irie (24'), Boura (40'), Assoumou (43'), Kante (45+1'), Diop (90+4'), (90+5')
Mar 9, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 28
Troyes
2-0
Bastia
Elisor (10'), Ilic (89')
Zoukrou (38'), Palaversa (88'), Ilic (90')

Bohnert (82')
Ducrocq (33')
Aug 26, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 4
Bastia
3-2
Troyes
Santelli (47'), Conte (70', 80')
Lienard (33'), Van Den Kerkhof (74')
Vincent (12')
De Preville (9' pen.), Zoukrou (29')
Ndiaye (90+7')
Kouame (12')
Feb 6, 2016 7pm
Bastia
2-0
Troyes
Ayite (10', 83' pen.)
Leca (48')

Nivet (3'), Mavinga (85')
Darbion (60'), Camus (82')
Dec 12, 2015 7pm
Troyes
1-1
Bastia
Cabot (59')
Jean (39'), Martins Pereira (63')
Fofana (22')
Palmieri (26'), Squillaci (42'), Modesto (56'), Peybernes (87')
> Match Report