Guingamp
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 30
Apr 12, 2025 at 1pm UK
Stade du Roudourou
Lorient logo

Guingamp
1 - 2
Lorient

Ghrieb (54')
Louiserre (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Junior Kroupi (60', 62')
Pagis (19'), Silva (90+3'), Ponceau (90+3')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Guingamp and Lorient.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guingamp

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Dunkerque 3-1 Guingamp
Monday, April 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Lorient 5-0 Pau
Saturday, April 5 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
GuingampDrawLorient
34.18% (-0.466 -0.47)26.62% (0.116 0.12)39.2% (0.35 0.35)
Both teams to score 51.95% (-0.448 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.02% (-0.538 -0.54)52.97% (0.537 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.42% (-0.46 -0.46)74.57% (0.459 0.46)
Guingamp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.6% (-0.556 -0.56)29.39% (0.556 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.61% (-0.687 -0.69)65.38% (0.685 0.69)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)26.42% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)61.59% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Guingamp 34.18%
    Lorient 39.19%
    Draw 26.61%
GuingampDrawLorient
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.054 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.16% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 34.18%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.77% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.42% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.88% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.19%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 13
Lorient
3-1
Guingamp
Katseris (8'), Basilio (42' og.), Soumano (68' pen.)
Louiserre (57' pen.)
Aug 10, 2024 5pm
Club Friendlies 3
Guingamp
1-1
Lorient
Siwe (25')
Pagis (60')
Feb 8, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 24
Guingamp
2-1
Lorient
Pele (37'), M'Changama (90')
Niakate (27'), Sorbon (61')
Wissa (6')
Aug 31, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 6
Lorient
0-1
Guingamp

Abergel (25')
Laporte (89' og.)
Pele (27'), Valdivia (57')
Jan 14, 2017 7pm
Lorient
3-1
Guingamp
Waris (72', 90'), Cabot (82')
Waris (58'), Mvuemba (79')
Salibur (40')
Briand (19'), Didot (48'), Deaux (86')