Ligue 2 | Gameweek 31
Apr 19, 2025 at 1pm UK
Stade Charlety

Paris FC
1 - 0
Bastia

Hamel (20')
Lopez (60'), Gory (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vincent (60'), Boutrah (68'), Placide (83'), Guidi (90+6')
Akueson (87')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Paris FC and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris FC

All competitions
Last Game: Grenoble 1-2 Paris FC
Saturday, April 12 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Bastia 5-2 Laval
Monday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paris FC in this match.

Result
Paris FCDrawBastia
57.26% (-1.771 -1.77)23.86% (0.861 0.86)18.88% (0.91 0.91)
Both teams to score 47.35% (-0.942 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.38% (-2.093 -2.09)52.62% (2.094 2.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.73% (-1.821 -1.82)74.27% (1.821 1.82)
Paris FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (-1.394 -1.39)18.19% (1.393 1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.81% (-2.431 -2.43)49.18% (2.431 2.43)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.88% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)42.12% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.46% (-0.141 -0.14)78.54% (0.14200000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Paris FC 57.25%
    Bastia 18.88%
    Draw 23.85%
Paris FCDrawBastia
1-0 @ 13.05% (0.48 0.48)
2-0 @ 11.12% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 6.32% (-0.348 -0.35)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.326 -0.33)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.281 -0.28)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.255 -0.26)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 57.25%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 7.66% (0.615 0.62)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.62% (0.504 0.5)
1-2 @ 4.88% (0.139 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.205 0.21)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.88%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 5
Bastia
2-1
Paris FC
Boutrah (21'), Cisse (35')
Vincent (33'), Maggiotti (45+4'), Tramoni (90+2')
Tavenot (29'), Tavares (45+3')
Camara (10')
Krasso (28'), Lopez (45+4'), Lopez (77')
Marchetti (45+7'), Krasso (62')
May 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Bastia
1-1
Paris FC
Alfarela (45+2' pen.)
Alfarela (75'), Santelli (78')
Kolodziejczak (29')
Kolodziejczak (26')
Nov 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 14
Paris FC
1-0
Bastia
Kebbal (45+3' pen.)
Mandouki (34')

Okou (45+1')
Traore (89')
Mar 18, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 28
Paris FC
0-1
Bastia
Magri (66')
Nov 5, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 14
Bastia
0-1
Paris FC
Guilavogui (34')