Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paris FC in this match.