Ligue 2 | Gameweek 28
Mar 31, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Charlety
Caen

Paris FC
4 - 2
Caen

Kolodziejczak (13'), Krasso (32', 60'), Cafaro (44')
Krasso (74')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Kyeremeh (82'), Tourraine (90+1' og.)
Henry (27'), Moucketou-Moussounda (45+3'), Lebreton (54')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Paris FC and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris FC

All competitions
Last Game: Laval 3-0 Paris FC
Saturday, March 15 at 1pm in Ligue 2

Caen

All competitions
Last Game: Amiens 2-1 Caen
Friday, March 14 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 51.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Caen had a probability of 23.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.

Result
Paris FCDrawCaen
51.51% (-0.529 -0.53)24.54% (0.251 0.25)23.94% (0.28 0.28)
Both teams to score 52.15% (-0.468 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.24% (-0.77 -0.77)49.75% (0.773 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24% (-0.694 -0.69)71.76% (0.697 0.7)
Paris FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (-0.505 -0.5)19.3% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.94% (-0.839 -0.84)51.05% (0.842 0.84)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.62% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)35.38% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.86% (-0.18 -0.18)72.13% (0.182 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Paris FC 51.51%
    Caen 23.94%
    Draw 24.54%
Paris FCDrawCaen
1-0 @ 11.23% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3%
Total : 51.51%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.212 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.54%
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.188 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.69% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 23.94%

How you voted: Paris FC vs Caen

Paris FC
95.0%
Draw
5.0%
Caen
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 1
Caen
0-2
Paris FC

Lebreton (28'), Meddah (64'), Gaucho Debohi (74')
Gory (76'), Kebbal (86' pen.)
Gory (83')
Mar 9, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 28
Caen
0-1
Paris FC
Ollila (85')
Hamel (67'), Marchetti (89')
Aug 5, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 1
Paris FC
0-2
Caen

Gaudin (2')
Gaudin (33')
Mendy (45+3'), Abdi (62')
Daubin (29'), Vandermersch (52')
Apr 15, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 31
Caen
3-1
Paris FC
Mendy (16'), Chergui (45' og.), Kyeremeh (75')
Ntim (81' og.)
Aug 27, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 5
Paris FC
1-1
Caen
Lopez (87')
Karamoko (43'), Chergui (75'), Name (90+3')
Thomas (44')
Teikeu (53'), Mohamed (86')