Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Pau had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Caen	Draw	Pau
39.71% ( -0.43)	26.72% ( 0.17)	33.57% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 51.5% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.51% (

-0.64)

53.49% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.99% (

-0.54)

75.01% (

0.55)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.61% (

-0.53)

26.39% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46% (

-0.71)

61.54% (

0.71)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.96% (

-0.14)

30.04% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.83% (

-0.18)

66.17% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Caen 39.71%

Pau 33.57%

Draw 26.72%

Caen	Draw	Pau
1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.71%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 33.57%