Ligue 2 | Gameweek 22
Feb 7, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Charlety

Paris FC
3 - 1
Pau

Lopez (28'), Krasso (49'), Cafaro (75')
Tourraine (35'), Cafaro (90+1'), Cafaro (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mboup (9')
Mboup (11'), Mille (77')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Paris FC and Pau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris FC

All competitions
Last Game: Guingamp 0-1 Paris FC
Saturday, February 1 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Pau

All competitions
Last Game: Pau 1-1 Laval
Friday, January 31 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Pau had a probability of 19.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.

Result
Paris FCDrawPau
58.57%22.34%19.09% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 52.31% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.83% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)46.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.53%68.47%
Paris FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.56% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)15.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.72%44.28%
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.87% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)38.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.1% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)74.9%
Score Analysis
    Paris FC 58.56%
    Pau 19.09%
    Draw 22.33%
Paris FCDrawPau
1-0 @ 10.99%
2-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 6.17%
4-0 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 2.88%
4-2 @ 1.39%
5-0 @ 1.12%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 58.56%
1-1 @ 10.6%
0-0 @ 5.89%
2-2 @ 4.78%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.33%
0-1 @ 5.68%
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.74%
1-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 19.09%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 13
Pau
0-0
Paris FC
Mohamed (65')
Doucet (44'), Marchetti (50')
Feb 10, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 24
Paris FC
1-1
Pau
Kore (90+5')
Camara (65'), Kore (86')
Bassouamina (53')
Beusnard (59')
Aug 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 3
Pau
2-0
Paris FC
Beusnard (37'), Boutaib (63')
Ahoussou (17'), Mouton (59')

Diaby-Fadiga (41')
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Paris FC
0-1
Pau
Abzi (77')
Dec 26, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Pau
0-1
Paris FC
Guilavogui (25')