Ligue 2 | Gameweek 20
Jan 25, 2025 at 1pm UK
Stade Charlety

Paris FC
4 - 1
Red Star

Gory (9', 9', 48', 48', 78', 78'), Doucet (90+2', 90+2')
Kolodziejczak (31'), Kolodziejczak (31')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Badji (86', 86')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Paris FC and Red Star.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris FC

All competitions
Last Game: Metz 3-1 Paris FC
Saturday, January 18 at 1pm in Ligue 2

Red Star

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Red Star 1-3 Pau
Friday, January 17 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Red Star had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Red Star win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.

Result
Paris FCDrawRed Star
59.39% (0.028000000000006 0.03)22.29% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)18.32% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 51.11% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.9% (0.112 0.11)47.1% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.66% (0.105 0.11)69.34% (-0.105 -0.11)
Paris FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.52% (0.046000000000006 0.05)15.48% (-0.048 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.64% (0.088999999999999 0.09)44.36% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Red Star Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.47% (0.064 0.06)39.53% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.78% (0.059999999999999 0.06)76.22% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Paris FC 59.37%
    Red Star 18.32%
    Draw 22.28%
Paris FCDrawRed Star
1-0 @ 11.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0029999999999983 0)
3-0 @ 6.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.15% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 59.37%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.28%
0-1 @ 5.68% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.32%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 7
Red Star
1-3
Paris FC
Doucoure (32')
Hachem (19'), Poirier (20'), Camara (53')
Camara (20'), Krasso (45+1' pen., 57')
Kolodziejczak (26'), Mendy (76')
May 10, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Red Star
0-1
Paris FC

Diakite (32'), Faucher (74')
Wamangituka (11')
May 9, 2019
1am
Red Star  
vs.
  Paris FC
Dec 21, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 19
Paris FC
1-1
Red Star
Perraud (21')
Ourega (80')
Fontaine (90')
Satli (34'), Tomas (75')
Satli (66')
Dec 20, 2018
12am
Paris FC  
vs.
  Red Star