Ligue 2 | Gameweek 26

Mar 7, 2025 at 7pm UK

Stade Armand-Cesari

Bastia
1 - 0
Martigues

Ducrocq (45+3' pen.)
Akueson (64'), Ravynel Inao Oulai (74'), Janneh (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Anzimati-Aboudou (63'), Kembolo Luyeye (85')

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Martigues.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions

Last Game: Troyes 2-0 Bastia
Friday, February 28 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Martigues

All competitions

Last Game: Laval 0-1 Martigues
Friday, February 28 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 63.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Martigues had a probability of 13.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.64%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Martigues win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bastia in this match.

Result
Bastia	Draw	Martigues
63.57% ( -0.02)	22.72% ( 0)	13.71% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 40.36% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.7% (

0.03)

56.3% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.67% (

0.02)

77.33% (

-0.02)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.74% (

17.26% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.41% (

47.59% (

-0)

Martigues Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.78% (

0.04)

51.22% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.51% (

0.03)

85.49% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Bastia 63.57%

Martigues 13.71%

Draw 22.71%

Bastia	Draw	Martigues
1-0 @ 15.53% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 13.64% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.06% Total : 63.57%	1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.71%	0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 13.71%